Value multiples

24 races in play at — · 12 bets ranked by EV

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How this works

Only runners the calibrated Data model rates ahead of the live market qualify, and never more than one per race, so the legs are independent. Every full-cover structure is then priced line by line: win chance from the models, payout from the live market price. Bets are ranked by expected value at —, and prices move — re-check before you take one on.

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#1 Lucky 15

4 legs · 15 lines · €30 at €2 a line

+401.3% EV

returns €150.40 exp.

some legs inside noise

Yankee plus 4 singles. Any winner pays.

  • 2 Errislannan

    Galway (Ballybrit) 15:00 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 10.3% · mkt 3.4%

    +6.9 pts

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

  • 6 Blazing Turlough

    Leopardstown 17:55 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 9.0% · mkt 3.9%

    +5.1 pts

Return
36%
chance in profit
All in
0.0%
pays €232380
Avg edge
+6.4
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-41.2%
on market probs

#2 Lucky 15

4 legs · 15 lines · €30 at €2 a line

+394.4% EV

returns €148.33 exp.

some legs inside noise

Yankee plus 4 singles. Any winner pays.

  • 2 Errislannan

    Galway (Ballybrit) 15:00 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 10.3% · mkt 3.4%

    +6.9 pts

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 4 Kingston Kestrel

    Galway (Ballybrit) 16:45 · 12 runners

    20/1

    model 8.7% · mkt 3.6%

    +5.1 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

Return
36%
chance in profit
All in
0.0%
pays €237099
Avg edge
+6.4
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-43.2%
on market probs

#3 Patent

3 legs · 7 lines · €14 at €2 a line

+277.7% EV

returns €52.87 exp.

some legs inside noise

Trixie plus 3 singles. One winner returns something.

  • 2 Errislannan

    Galway (Ballybrit) 15:00 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 10.3% · mkt 3.4%

    +6.9 pts

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

Return
30%
chance in profit
All in
0.1%
pays €11796
Avg edge
+6.8
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-35.3%
on market probs

#4 Patent

3 legs · 7 lines · €14 at €2 a line

+258.0% EV

returns €50.12 exp.

some legs inside noise

Trixie plus 3 singles. One winner returns something.

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

  • 6 Blazing Turlough

    Leopardstown 17:55 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 9.0% · mkt 3.9%

    +5.1 pts

Return
29%
chance in profit
All in
0.1%
pays €12427
Avg edge
+6.2
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-28.7%
on market probs

#5 Yankee

4 legs · 11 lines · €22 at €2 a line

+512.5% EV

returns €134.75 exp.

some legs inside noise

6 doubles, 4 trebles, 1 four-fold.

  • 2 Errislannan

    Galway (Ballybrit) 15:00 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 10.3% · mkt 3.4%

    +6.9 pts

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

  • 6 Blazing Turlough

    Leopardstown 17:55 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 9.0% · mkt 3.9%

    +5.1 pts

Return
6%
chance in profit
All in
0.0%
pays €232380
Avg edge
+6.4
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-48.0%
on market probs

#6 Yankee

4 legs · 11 lines · €22 at €2 a line

+503.4% EV

returns €132.75 exp.

some legs inside noise

6 doubles, 4 trebles, 1 four-fold.

  • 2 Errislannan

    Galway (Ballybrit) 15:00 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 10.3% · mkt 3.4%

    +6.9 pts

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 4 Kingston Kestrel

    Galway (Ballybrit) 16:45 · 12 runners

    20/1

    model 8.7% · mkt 3.6%

    +5.1 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

Return
6%
chance in profit
All in
0.0%
pays €237099
Avg edge
+6.4
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-50.3%
on market probs

#7 Trixie

3 legs · 4 lines · €8 at €2 a line

+409.6% EV

returns €40.77 exp.

some legs inside noise

3 doubles + 1 treble. Two winners still pay.

  • 2 Errislannan

    Galway (Ballybrit) 15:00 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 10.3% · mkt 3.4%

    +6.9 pts

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

Return
3%
chance in profit
All in
0.1%
pays €11796
Avg edge
+6.8
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-45.1%
on market probs

#8 Trixie

3 legs · 4 lines · €8 at €2 a line

+378.9% EV

returns €38.31 exp.

some legs inside noise

3 doubles + 1 treble. Two winners still pay.

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

  • 6 Blazing Turlough

    Leopardstown 17:55 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 9.0% · mkt 3.9%

    +5.1 pts

Return
3%
chance in profit
All in
0.1%
pays €12427
Avg edge
+6.2
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-37.0%
on market probs

#9 Double

2 legs · 1 line · €2 at €2 a line

+325.6% EV

returns €8.51 exp.

some legs inside noise

Both must win. One line, biggest price, no safety net.

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

Return
1%
chance in profit
All in
1.3%
pays €631
Avg edge
+6.8
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-32.1%
on market probs

#10 Double

2 legs · 1 line · €2 at €2 a line

+306.5% EV

returns €8.13 exp.

some legs inside noise

Both must win. One line, biggest price, no safety net.

  • 2 Errislannan

    Galway (Ballybrit) 15:00 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 10.3% · mkt 3.4%

    +6.9 pts

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

Return
1%
chance in profit
All in
1.3%
pays €621
Avg edge
+6.6
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-33.1%
on market probs

#11 Treble

3 legs · 1 line · €2 at €2 a line

+718.8% EV

returns €16.38 exp.

some legs inside noise

All three must win. One line.

  • 2 Errislannan

    Galway (Ballybrit) 15:00 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 10.3% · mkt 3.4%

    +6.9 pts

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

Return
0%
chance in profit
All in
0.1%
pays €11796
Avg edge
+6.8
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-56.6%
on market probs

#12 Treble

3 legs · 1 line · €2 at €2 a line

+656.4% EV

returns €15.13 exp.

some legs inside noise

All three must win. One line.

  • 1 Headford Hero

    Leopardstown 16:10 · 8 runners

    16/1

    model 12.7% · mkt 6.3%

    +6.4 pts

  • 2 Furbo Flyer

    Galway (Ballybrit) 17:20 · 10 runners

    18/1

    model 10.6% · mkt 3.4%

    +7.2 pts

  • 6 Blazing Turlough

    Leopardstown 17:55 · 11 runners

    18/1

    model 9.0% · mkt 3.9%

    +5.1 pts

Return
0%
chance in profit
All in
0.1%
pays €12427
Avg edge
+6.2
worst 95% -5.5
Mkt check
-47.3%
on market probs